Here's the summary...
Over the 12-year span, the report found 99 studies in which there were quantitative comparisons of online and classroom performance for the same courses. The analysis for the Department of Education found that, on average, students doing some or all of the course online would rank in the 59th percentile in tested performance, compared with the average classroom student scoring in the 50th percentile. That is a modest but statistically meaningful difference.And the 'design' from 30,000 feet...
Some of it was in K-12 settings, but most of the comparative studies were done in colleges and adult continuing-education programs of various kinds, from medical training to the military.I'm sure there's a ton of analysis in the full 93-page report. I mean this is a statistician's dream (or nightmare).
More interesting to me are the reactions to the general results by learning professionals. For example,
“We are at an inflection point in online education,” said Philip R. Regier, the dean of Arizona State University’s Online and Extended Campus program."
“People are correct when they say online education will take things out the classroom. But they are wrong, I think, when they assume it will make learning an independent, personal activity. Learning has to occur in a community.”
First, that's an amazing conclusion to come to given the data summary. Seems a little less community improved performance about 9%.
Second, it's going to be an ONLINE COMMUNITY, Phillip. Learners are going to find online communities of peer learners. People they like, respect and have experiences that enrich their own learning.
Learing pros are still trying to stuff learning back into the classroom bottle. 'Online learning is a good adjunct to classroom.' WRONG. If we've truly hit an inflection point, then that's reversed, i.e., classroom should support online.
And, as I've said numerous times, all learning is personal. I'm happy to include 'individual' in that definition if you want to argue semantics.
A student of any stripe sitting in a classroom with 20 other people is going through a personal journey. The material is being spewed at one rate, but that doesn't mean that everyone is learning at the same rate. The thoughts running through people's heads are all over the map.
- I'm bored; I learned this last term.
- He's going too fast; I'm lost. I wish he'd repeat that last point.
- Interesting, but I wonder why they do it that way?
- What the heck is he talking about? Is there a picture of this thing somewhere?
- When are we going to get to try this stuff?
- Another question?! Is that guy totally stupid or what? It's so clear.
Just like drawing and design software empowered users (and disemboweled professional artists and designers), digital technology and learning management software are going to empower learners and disenfranchise professional teachers for 99% of material.

















